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CPG glossary

Premium pricing: is your price premium holding?

What premium pricing is

Premium pricing is holding a shelf price deliberately above the category average, and keeping it there, on the argument that the product is worth more to the shopper than the alternatives beside it. The measurable version of that argument is a price premium: the brand's average selling price expressed as an index against the category's, so a kombucha ringing at $4.19 in a category averaging $3.35 carries an index of 125.

The strategy is the easy half. The audit is where I spent my time. When I owned the competitive set at a natural-products brand, about half the items I benchmarked carried an apparent premium that dissolved the moment I indexed like against like, and one of our own SKUs was in that half.

How to measure a price premium

Average selling price is dollars divided by units, at whatever level you cut it. The index is your ASP over the comparison ASP, times 100. An index of 125 means you ring 25% above the comparison, 100 means parity, and 92 means you are below it whatever your list price says.

Here is Alder Creek, a fictional kombucha brand, against its whole category across a 13-week period, every pack and every outlet.

LineAlder CreekCategory
Dollars$412,000$9,640,000
Units98,3002,877,600
Average price$4.19$3.35
ASP index125100

$412,000 / 98,300 = $4.19. $9,640,000 / 2,877,600 = $3.35. And $4.19 / $3.35 = 1.251, so the index is 125. On that number Alder Creek looks like one of the strongest premiums in the set.

What fakes a premium: pack mix

Alder Creek sells one pack, a 16 oz single-serve bottle. The category ASP above blends single-serve bottles with 4-packs and 6-packs, and a multipack almost always rings at a lower price per unit. So the 125 is partly a statement about what Alder Creek chose to sell rather than what shoppers will pay it.

Cut the category to 16 oz single-serve only and the comparison changes.

Comparison basisAlder Creek ASPCategory ASPIndex
All packs, all outlets$4.19$3.35125
16 oz single-serve, all outlets$4.19$3.92107
16 oz single-serve, Sprouts only$4.19$4.02104
100125All packsvs $3.35 category10716 oz onlyvs $3.92 category10416 oz, Sproutsvs $4.02 categoryEach bar is the premium above the category's index of 100
Alder Creek's $4.19 against a like pack at a like retailer: a 125 index is really 104 (worked example)

18 of the 25 apparent points were pack mix ($4.19 / $3.92 = 1.069, an index of 107). Three more were distribution: Alder Creek sells only into natural retailers where the whole category prices higher, so once you hold the retailer constant the like-for-like index is 104. The real premium is four points, not twenty-five.

Four points is still a premium and it is still worth defending. It is just a different conversation with a buyer than twenty-five, and it sets a very different expectation for what happens if a mainstream account picks the brand up. This is the same mix problem that makes price pack architecture a pricing decision rather than a packaging one.

Is the premium holding, or eroding?

A premium is a relative position, so it moves when the category moves even if your own price never changes. Track the index over time, not the price.

PeriodAlder Creek ASPCategory ASP (16 oz, Sprouts)Index
Q1$3.95$3.67108
Q4$4.19$4.02104

Alder Creek took 6.1% of price across the year ($3.95 to $4.19). The category took 9.5% ($3.67 to $4.02). The brand raised price and lost four points of premium in the same twelve months, and a price report that only shows your own line would have called that year a win.

Two more checks before calling a premium real:

  • Strip promoted weeks. A brand that lives on a deep temporary price reduction shows an ASP well below its everyday shelf price, and its index wobbles with the promo calendar rather than with the brand. Index the non-promoted weeks separately and compare that to the category's non-promoted weeks. Discount pricing covers what the deal itself does to the number.
  • Watch units alongside the index. A rising index with falling units is usually not a strengthening premium. It is the price-sensitive half of the buyer base leaving, and the survivors paying more.

Premium pricing versus a premium position

The two get used as one thing and they are separable. Premium pricing is a decision you make and can reverse in a week. A premium position is what the shopper concedes, and price is only one of its signals. A brand can hold a 130 index for two years on distribution alone if it is the only item on a natural retailer's shelf that meets a standard, and lose it in a quarter when a private label version arrives at 105. That is why the index and brand equity get read together rather than one being a proxy for the other.

Where Scout fits

The index above is arithmetic on POS: dollars, units, pack, retailer, week. The work is holding the comparison honest, which means cutting the category to the same pack and the same retailer as your own item and doing it again every period. Scout computes ASP and the category index by pack, by retailer and by promoted and non-promoted weeks on your retailer and syndicated data, so the premium you quote survives a buyer pulling the same numbers.

One limit worth stating plainly. POS records transactions, not people. It can show that shoppers paid a 104 index for Alder Creek at Sprouts for four quarters. It cannot tell you whether they consider the brand premium, or what they would have paid at $4.79. Willingness to pay and brand perception need a survey or a controlled test, and no amount of scan data substitutes for one.

The short version

  • Premium pricing is a deliberate price above the category average; the price premium is your ASP indexed to the category's, where 125 means 25% above.
  • Most apparent premiums are pack mix and distribution. Alder Creek's 125 fell to 107 on a like pack and 104 at a like retailer.
  • Track the index, not your price. A 6.1% price increase against a 9.5% category increase is four points of premium lost.
  • POS proves what was paid. It does not prove what shoppers believe, and it cannot price-test a level you never charged.
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